Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Friday for Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock after losing 2.43%
(Updated on Jun 14, 2024)
The Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock price fell by -2.43% on the last day (Friday, 14th Jun 2024) from 3.41€ to 3.33€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.10% from a day low at 3.26€ to a day high of 3.40€. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.85% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 92 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 150 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 497.84€ thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 9.68% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 3.65€ and 4.26€ at the end of this 3-month period.
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IES.DE Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 3.50€ and 3.57€. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. finds support from accumulated volume at 3.32€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved 0.134€ (4.10%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.68%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (IES.DE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 17th we expect Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. to open at 3.33€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 3.25€ and 3.41€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.0774€ (+/-2.33%) up or down from last closing price. If Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 3.32€ (0.29%) than the resistance at 3.54€ (6.41%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock A Buy?
The Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.315 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. of Monday, June 17, 2024
| Fair opening price June 17, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 3.33€ ( 0.0400%) | 3.33€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IES.DE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3.46 | 4.06% |
| R2 | 3.41 | 2.53% |
| R1 | 3.38 | 1.58% |
| Price | 3.33 | |
| S1 | 3.28 | -1.50% |
| S2 | 3.25 | -2.45% |
| S3 | 3.20 | -3.98% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 3.73 | 12.09% |
| R2 | 3.58 | 7.48% |
| R1 | 3.54 | 6.41% |
| Price | 3.33 | |
| S1 | 3.32 | -0.285% |
| S2 | 3.29 | -1.19% |
| S3 | 3.28 | -1.46% |
IES Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 20, 2024 | May 20, 2024 | May 22, 2024 | 0.152€ | 4.29% |
| 2 | Nov 20, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | 0.144€ | 5.63% |
| 3 | May 22, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | 0.0901€ | 3.83% |
| 4 | Nov 21, 2022 | Nov 21, 2022 | Nov 21, 2022 | 0.0738€ | 3.32% |
| 5 | May 23, 2022 | May 23, 2022 | May 23, 2022 | 0.0789€ | 3.98% |
FAQ
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