iShares Government Inflation ETF Forecast
iShares Government Inflation ETF downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)
The iShares Government Inflation ETF price fell by -0.296% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024) from A$124.83 to A$124.46. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.169% from a day low at A$124.38 to a day high of A$124.59. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.1% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 7 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately A$927.35 thousand.
The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at A$124.75 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect iShares Government Inflation ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between A$120.27 and A$122.83 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ILB.AX Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The iShares Government Inflation ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at A$124.65 and A$124.59. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.789%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. iShares Government Inflation gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, June 13, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, June 13, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for iShares Government Inflation ETF
iShares Government Inflation finds support from accumulated volume at A$124.42 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved A$0.210 between high and low, or 0.169%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.273%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ILB.AX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect iShares Government Inflation ETF to open at A$124.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between A$123.96 and A$124.96, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-A$0.498 (+/-0.40%) up or down from last closing price. If iShares Government Inflation ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.80% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at A$124.42 (0.03%) than the resistance at A$124.78 (0.26%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is iShares Government Inflation ETF ETF A Buy?
iShares Government Inflation holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -4.557 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for iShares Government Inflation ETF of Friday, June 21, 2024
Fair opening price June 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
A$124.48 ( 0.0134%) | A$124.46 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ILB.AX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 124.69 | 0.182% |
R2 | 124.61 | 0.118% |
R1 | 124.56 | 0.0778% |
Price | 124.46 | |
S1 | 124.40 | -0.0511% |
S2 | 124.35 | -0.0909% |
S3 | 124.27 | -0.155% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 125.95 | 1.20% |
R2 | 124.87 | 0.329% |
R1 | 124.78 | 0.257% |
Price | 124.46 | |
S1 | 124.42 | -0.0321% |
S2 | 124.02 | -0.354% |
S3 | 123.37 | -0.88% |
ILB Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 09, 2024 | Apr 09, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | A$0.459 | 0.365% |
2 | Jan 08, 2024 | Jan 08, 2024 | Jan 18, 2024 | A$0.508 | 0.409% |
3 | Oct 09, 2023 | Oct 09, 2023 | Oct 09, 2023 | A$0.81 | 0.671% |
4 | Jul 03, 2023 | Jul 03, 2023 | Jul 03, 2023 | A$0.97 | 0.791% |
5 | Apr 06, 2023 | Apr 06, 2023 | Apr 06, 2023 | A$0.0919 | 0.0722% |
FAQ
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