Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. Stock Forecast
A very red day for Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock price after a -5.57% fall in the Monday trading session
(Updated on May 20, 2024)
The Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock price fell by -5.57% on the last day (Monday, 20th May 2024) from 3.77€ to 3.56€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.27% from a day low at 3.54€ to a day high of 3.66€. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.11% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 million shares and in total, 121 million shares were bought and sold for approximately 429.43€ million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at 3.54€ is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 24.79% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 4.42€ and 4.72€ at the end of this 3-month period.
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ISP.MI Signals & Forecast
The Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately 3.67€. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately 3.48€. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 17, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.57%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 11, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, July 11, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. finds support from accumulated volume at 3.46€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved 0.116€ between high and low, or 3.27%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.01%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 3.41€ (-4.31%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 23 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ISP.MI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. to open at 3.59€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 3.48€ and 3.63€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.0752€ (+/-2.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 3.57€ (0.42%) than the support at 3.46€ (2.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. stock A Buy?
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.086 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A. of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
3.59€ ( 0.81%) | 3.56€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ISP.MI
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 3.70 | 4.06 % | |
R2 | 3.66 | 2.82 % | ||
R1 | 3.63 | 2.05 % | ||
Current price: | 3.56 | |||
Support | S1 | 3.54 | -0.440 % | |
S2 | 3.52 | -1.21 % | ||
S3 | 3.47 | -2.45 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 3.77 | 5.90 % | |
R2 | 3.70 | 4.05 % | ||
R1 | 3.57 | 0.421 % | ||
Current price | 3.56 | |||
Support | S1 | 3.46 | -2.73% | |
S2 | 3.23 | -9.31% | ||
S3 | 3.00 | -15.58% |
ISP Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 20, 2024 | May 20, 2024 | May 20, 2024 | 0€ | 0% |
2 | Nov 20, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | Nov 20, 2023 | 0.144€ | 5.63% |
3 | May 22, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | May 22, 2023 | 0.0901€ | 3.85% |
4 | Nov 21, 2022 | Nov 21, 2022 | Nov 21, 2022 | 0.0738€ | 3.45% |
5 | May 23, 2022 | May 23, 2022 | May 23, 2022 | 0.0789€ | 3.98% |
FAQ
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