Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jul 03, 2024)
The Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf ETF price gained 0.105% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 3rd Jul 2024), rising from $47.52 to $47.57. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.441% from a day low at $47.39 to a day high of $47.60. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.04% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -34 thousand shares and in total, 30 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.44 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the upper part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $47.86 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 3.57% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $47.89 and $49.56 at the end of this 3-month period.
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IUS Signals & Forecast
The Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $47.49 and $47.23. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.210%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf ETF
Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf finds support from accumulated volume at $47.13 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.209 between high and low, or 0.441%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.699%
Our recommended stop-loss: $45.93 (-3.46%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 43 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (IUS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 5th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 5th we expect Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf to open at $47.52, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $47.23 and $47.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.344 (+/-0.72%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $47.59 (0.04%) than the support at $47.13 (0.92%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf ETF A Buy?
Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.877 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Invesco Rafi Strategic Us Etf of Friday, July 5, 2024
Fair opening price July 5, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$47.52 ( 0.106%) | $47.57 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for IUS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 47.73 | 0.334% |
R2 | 47.65 | 0.166% |
R1 | 47.60 | 0.0623% |
Price | 47.57 | |
S1 | 47.44 | -0.274% |
S2 | 47.39 | -0.377% |
S3 | 47.31 | -0.545% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 47.67 | 0.210% |
R2 | 47.66 | 0.189% |
R1 | 47.59 | 0.0420% |
Price | 47.57 | |
S1 | 47.13 | -0.92% |
S2 | 47.11 | -0.97% |
S3 | 46.74 | -1.74% |
IUS Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | $0.174 | 0.370% |
2 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.195 | 0.451% |
3 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | $0.204 | 0.510% |
4 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.174 | 0.440% |
5 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | $0.172 | 0.465% |
FAQ
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