Coffee Commodity Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Loss -7.70%

The Coffee commodity price gained 2.72% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026), rising from $312.60 to $321.10. During the last trading day the commodity fluctuated 3.13% from a day low at $311.35 to a day high of $321.10. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.24% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -2 thousand shares and in total, 15 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.71 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The commodity lies in the middle of a very wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the commodity is expected to rise 8.32% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $277.19 and $382.85 at the end of this 3-month period.

KCUSX Signals & Forecast

The Coffee commodity holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the commodity giving a positive forecast for the commodity. On further gains, the commodity will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $326.94. On a fall, the commodity will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $289.96. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The commodity should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, July 06, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.24%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Coffee commodity

Coffee finds support from accumulated volume at $317.60 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This commodity may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this commodity is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the commodity moved $9.75 between high and low, or 3.13%. For the last week, the commodity has had daily average volatility of 1.85%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $304.76 (-5.09%) (This commodity has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (KCUSX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Sunday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Sunday, 19th we expect Coffee to open at $317.85, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $314.74 and $327.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$12.73 (+/-4.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Coffee takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.04% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $317.60 (1.09%) than the resistance at $334.25 (4.10%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Coffee commodity A Buy?

Coffee holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this commodity since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.353 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 19, 2026 - $317.85 ( 1.01%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk