Keerthi Industries Limited Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Is Keerthi Industries Limited stock still a buy after falling -5.64% on Wednesday?
(Updated on May 15, 2024)
The Keerthi Industries Limited stock price fell by -5.64% on the last day (Wednesday, 15th May 2024) from ₹130.35 to ₹123.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.29% from a day low at ₹120.05 to a day high of ₹130.00. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 6.68% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 499 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 552 shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹67.90 thousand.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at ₹126.20 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -10.44% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹86.08 and ₹113.03 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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KEERTHI.BO Signals & Forecast
The Keerthi Industries Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹123.94. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹121.43. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.43%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Keerthi Industries Limited gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Keerthi Industries Limited stock
Keerthi Industries Limited finds support from accumulated volume at ₹121.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ₹9.95 between high and low, or 8.29%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.86%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹119.41 (-2.92%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (KEERTHI.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 16th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 16th we expect Keerthi Industries Limited to open at ₹124.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹114.54 and ₹131.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹8.46 (+/-6.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Keerthi Industries Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 13.75% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹123.15 (0.12%) than the support at ₹121.00 (1.63%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Keerthi Industries Limited stock A Buy?
Keerthi Industries Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: -0.785 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Keerthi Industries Limited of Thursday, May 16, 2024
| Fair opening price May 16, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ₹124.35 ( 1.10%) | ₹123.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for KEERTHI.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 134.30 | 9.19 % | |
| R2 | 130.50 | 6.10 % | ||
| R1 | 128.15 | 4.19 % | ||
| Current price: | 123.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 120.55 | -1.99 % | |
| S2 | 118.20 | -3.90 % | ||
| S3 | 114.40 | -6.99 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 143.25 | 16.46 % | |
| R2 | 125.25 | 1.83 % | ||
| R1 | 123.15 | 0.122 % | ||
| Current price | 123.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 121.00 | -1.63% | |
| S2 | 118.25 | -3.86% | ||
| S3 | 110.00 | -10.57% |
KEERTHI Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 15, 2022 | Sep 15, 2022 | Oct 19, 2022 | ₹1.50 | 1.09% |
| 2 | Sep 14, 2021 | Sep 14, 2021 | Oct 18, 2021 | ₹1.50 | 0.96% |
| 3 | Sep 16, 2020 | Sep 16, 2020 | Oct 25, 2020 | ₹0.90 | 2.25% |
| 4 | Jul 29, 2019 | Jul 29, 2019 | Aug 08, 2019 | ₹0.90 | 2.16% |
| 5 | Sep 19, 2018 | Sep 19, 2018 | Oct 29, 2018 | ₹0.90 | 1.38% |
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