KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex ETF Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex ETF price gained 0.639% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024), rising from $28.18 to $28.36. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.247% from a day low at $28.33 to a day high of $28.40. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.78% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -4 thousand shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $109.78 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $28.37 and $30.54 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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KEMX Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $28.94. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $28.06. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.12%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex ETF
KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex finds support from accumulated volume at $28.05 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0699 between high and low, or 0.247%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $26.88 (-5.22%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 5 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (KEMX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China Index ETF to open at $28.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.05 and $28.67, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.309 (+/-1.09%) up or down from last closing price. If KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China Index ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.18% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $28.43 (0.25%) than the support at $28.05 (1.09%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China Index ETF ETF A Buy?
KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.582 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for KraneShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China Index ETF of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$28.36 ( 0.0119%) | $28.36 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for KEMX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 28.43 | 0.258 % | |
R2 | 28.41 | 0.164 % | ||
R1 | 28.39 | 0.106 % | ||
Current price: | 28.36 | |||
Support | S1 | 28.34 | -0.0823 % | |
S2 | 28.32 | -0.140 % | ||
S3 | 28.29 | -0.235 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 29.37 | 3.56 % | |
R2 | 28.68 | 1.13 % | ||
R1 | 28.43 | 0.247 % | ||
Current price | 28.36 | |||
Support | S1 | 28.05 | -1.09% | |
S2 | 27.97 | -1.37% | ||
S3 | 27.89 | -1.66% |
KEMX Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.569 | 2.05% |
2 | Dec 27, 2022 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $0.99 | 4.11% |
3 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 31, 2021 | $1.49 | 4.79% |
4 | Dec 28, 2020 | Dec 29, 2020 | Dec 31, 2020 | $0.498 | 1.69% |
5 | Dec 26, 2019 | Dec 27, 2019 | Dec 31, 2019 | $0.736 | 2.77% |
FAQ
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