LIC Housing Finance Limited Stock Forecast
LIC Housing Finance Limited stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 06, 2024)
The LIC Housing Finance Limited stock price fell by -3.15% on the last day (Monday, 6th May 2024) from ₹654.40 to ₹633.80. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.28% from a day low at ₹626.90 to a day high of ₹660.00. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.42% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -3 thousand shares and in total, 92 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹58.21 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.73% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹594.53 and ₹692.90 at the end of this 3-month period.
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LICHSGFIN.BO Signals & Forecast
The LIC Housing Finance Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹660.26. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹630.84. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.89%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for LIC Housing Finance Limited stock
LIC Housing Finance Limited finds support from accumulated volume at ₹620.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved ₹33.10 between high and low, or 5.28%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.57%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹595.14 (-6.10%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (LICHSGFIN.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect LIC Housing Finance Limited to open at ₹640.23, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹613.85 and ₹653.75, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹19.95 (+/-3.15%) up or down from last closing price. If LIC Housing Finance Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at ₹620.45 (2.11%) than the resistance at ₹647.60 (2.18%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
LIC Housing Finance Limited will release earnings BMO on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. We will update the financials statements for LIC Housing Finance Limited, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.26% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is LIC Housing Finance Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for LIC Housing Finance Limited stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.069 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for LIC Housing Finance Limited of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹640.23 ( 1.02%) | ₹633.80 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for LICHSGFIN.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 673.33 | 6.24 % | |
R2 | 660.69 | 4.24 % | ||
R1 | 652.88 | 3.01 % | ||
Current price: | 633.80 | |||
Support | S1 | 627.59 | -0.98 % | |
S2 | 619.78 | -2.21 % | ||
S3 | 607.13 | -4.21 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 659.25 | 4.02 % | |
R2 | 653.90 | 3.17 % | ||
R1 | 647.60 | 2.18 % | ||
Current price | 633.80 | |||
Support | S1 | 620.45 | -2.11% | |
S2 | 611.05 | -3.59% | ||
S3 | 591.65 | -6.65% |
LICHSGFIN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Aug 18, 2023 | Aug 18, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | ₹8.50 | 1.82% |
2 | Sep 19, 2022 | Sep 19, 2022 | Oct 29, 2022 | ₹8.50 | 2.02% |
3 | Aug 08, 2017 | Aug 08, 2017 | Sep 17, 2017 | ₹6.20 | 0.96% |
4 | Aug 09, 2016 | Aug 09, 2016 | Aug 09, 2016 | ₹5.50 | 1.06% |
5 | Aug 07, 2015 | Aug 07, 2015 | Aug 07, 2015 | ₹5.00 | 0.98% |
FAQ
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