Medley Capital Corporation ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Medley Capital Corporation ETF price down 3.84% on Monday
(Updated on Apr 20, 2020)
The Medley Capital Corporation ETF price fell by -3.84% on the last day (Monday, 20th Apr 2020) from $21.33 to $20.51. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 4.15% from a day low at $20.50 to a day high of $21.35. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -17.96% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -7 thousand shares and in total, 3 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $70.47 thousand.
The ETF lies in the lower of a narrow and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $20.45 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -3.12% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $19.81 and $20.62 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MCX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Medley Capital Corporation ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $22.26 and $24.55. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 30, -1. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this ETF may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Medley Capital Corporation ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0.85 between high and low, or 4.15%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.44%
Our recommended stop-loss: $1.03 (-5.00%) (Unable to calculate.)
Trading Expectations (MCX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $21.13, some $0.622 (3.03%) from the current price of $20.51, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Medley Capital Corporation ETF A Buy?
Medley Capital Corporation holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Medley Capital Corporation of Tuesday, April 21, 2020
Fair opening price April 21, 2020 | Current price |
---|---|
$20.79 ( 1.35%) | $20.51 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MCX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.64 | 5.49 % | |
R2 | 21.31 | 3.91 % | ||
R1 | 21.11 | 2.93 % | ||
Current price: | 20.51 | |||
Support | S1 | 20.46 | -0.234 % | |
S2 | 20.26 | -1.21 % | ||
S3 | 19.94 | -2.80 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.33 | 4.00 % | |
R2 | 21.25 | 3.61 % | ||
R1 | 21.13 | 3.03 % | ||
Current price | 20.51 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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