MDC Holdings Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Friday for MDC Holdings Inc
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
No changes to the price of MDC Holdings Inc stock on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at $62.98 to a day high of $62.98. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 0.11% gain for the last 2 weeks.
The stock is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect MDC Holdings Inc stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $63.23 and $63.72 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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MDC Signals & Forecast
The MDC Holdings Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $62.98 and $62.87. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, April 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MDC Holdings Inc stock
MDC Holdings Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $62.91 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0%
Our recommended stop-loss: $60.67 (-3.66%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MDC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect MDC Holdings Inc to open at $62.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $62.91 and $63.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0665 (+/-0.11%) up or down from last closing price. If MDC Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $62.91, some $0.0700 (0.11%) from the current price of $62.98, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is MDC Holdings Inc stock A Buy?
MDC Holdings Inc holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for MDC Holdings Inc of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $62.98 ( 0%) | $62.98 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MDC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 62.98 | . | |
| R2 | 62.98 | . | ||
| R1 | 62.98 | . | ||
| Current price: | 62.98 | |||
| Support | S1 | 62.98 | . | |
| S2 | 62.98 | . | ||
| S3 | 62.98 | . |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 62.98 | |||
| Support | S1 | 62.91 | -0.111% | |
| S2 | 62.70 | -0.445% | ||
| S3 | 62.66 | -0.508% |
MDC Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 17, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | Feb 21, 2024 | $0.550 | 0.88% |
| 2 | Oct 23, 2023 | Nov 07, 2023 | Nov 22, 2023 | $0.550 | 1.25% |
| 3 | Jul 24, 2023 | Aug 08, 2023 | Aug 23, 2023 | $0.550 | 1.17% |
| 4 | Apr 17, 2023 | May 09, 2023 | May 24, 2023 | $0.500 | 1.24% |
| 5 | Jan 23, 2023 | Feb 07, 2023 | Feb 22, 2023 | $0.500 | 1.36% |
FAQ
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