- Trading above its 200-day moving average
- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.81)
- Bullish long-term trend in place
PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic ETF price fell by -0.371% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $41.84 to $41.68. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.99% from a day low at $41.28 to a day high of $41.69. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.35% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 5 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 11 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $478.49 thousand.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $39.51 and $41.26 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
MFDX Signals & Forecast
The PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $41.24 and $41.54. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.371%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic ETF
PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic finds support from accumulated volume at $41.49 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.410 between high and low, or 0.99%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.12%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $40.43 (-3.00%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (MFDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic Multi-Factor International Equity to open at $41.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $41.45 and $41.91, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.466 (+/-1.13%) up or down from last closing price. If PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic Multi-Factor International Equity takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $41.49 (0.45%) than the resistance at $42.13 (1.08%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic Multi-Factor International Equity ETF A Buy?
PIMCO Equitiy Series RAFI Dynamic holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
0.759
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $41.55 ( 0.312%).
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MFDX Performance
Trading levels for MFDX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 41.96 | 0.672% |
| R2 | 41.80 | 0.296% |
| R1 | 41.71 | 0.0639% |
| Price | 41.68 | |
| S1 | 41.39 | -0.688% |
| S2 | 41.30 | -0.92% |
| S3 | 41.14 | -1.30% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 42.45 | 1.85% |
| R2 | 42.29 | 1.46% |
| R1 | 42.13 | 1.08% |
| Price | 41.68 | |
| S1 | 41.49 | -0.451% |
| S2 | 41.42 | -0.624% |
| S3 | 40.93 | -1.80% |
MFDX Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 01, 2026 | Jul 01, 2026 | Jul 06, 2026 | $0.420 | 1.01% |
| 2 | Apr 01, 2026 | Apr 01, 2026 | Apr 01, 2026 | $0.250 | 0.621% |
| 3 | Dec 31, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | Jan 05, 2026 | $0.330 | 0.85% |
| 4 | Oct 01, 2025 | Oct 01, 2025 | Oct 03, 2025 | $0.210 | 0.565% |
| 5 | Jul 01, 2025 | Jul 01, 2025 | Jul 03, 2025 | $0.380 | 1.07% |
FAQ
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Buy MFDX
A buy signal from a double bottom formation was found on Monday, July 20, 2026 and based on theory for this formation the price should go up by 0.410% to $41.85 within 26 trading days (Tuesday, August 25, 2026) since signal was issued.