VanEck Agribusiness ETF Forecast

VanEck Agribusiness ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)

MOO Signals & Forecast

The VanEck Agribusiness ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $74.52. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $73.18. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, May 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.628%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for VanEck Agribusiness ETF

VanEck Agribusiness finds support from accumulated volume at $74.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.350 between high and low, or 0.472%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.773%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $71.39 (-3.99%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (MOO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect VanEck Agribusiness ETF to open at $74.29, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $73.58 and $75.12, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.774 (+/-1.04%) up or down from last closing price. If VanEck Agribusiness ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.08% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $74.33 (0.03%) than the resistance at $74.50 (0.20%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is VanEck Agribusiness ETF ETF A Buy?

VanEck Agribusiness holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.511 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for VanEck Agribusiness ETF of Monday, May 20, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.