MP Materials Stock Forecast
Big movements in MP Materials stock price on Friday moving 10.33% between high and low
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The MP Materials stock price fell by -3.45% on the last day (Friday, 3rd May 2024) from $15.96 to $15.41. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 10.33% from a day low at $15.39 to a day high of $16.98. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.32% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $72.34 million.
The stock is moving within a very wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect MP Materials stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $13.31 and $17.70 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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MP Signals & Forecast
The MP Materials stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $15.96. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $15.40. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 09, 2024, and so far it has fallen -11.64%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MP Materials stock
MP Materials finds support from accumulated volume at $14.74 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.59 between high and low, or 10.33%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.82%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect MP Materials Corporation to open at $15.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.62 and $16.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.790 (+/-5.13%) up or down from last closing price. If MP Materials Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.26% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $16.02 (3.96%) than the support at $14.74 (4.35%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is MP Materials Corporation stock A Buy?
MP Materials holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.333 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for MP Materials Corporation of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $15.93 ( 3.35%) | $15.41 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 17.52 | 13.67 % | |
| R2 | 16.91 | 9.73 % | ||
| R1 | 16.53 | 7.29 % | ||
| Current price: | 15.41 | |||
| Support | S1 | 15.32 | -0.589 % | |
| S2 | 14.94 | -3.02 % | ||
| S3 | 14.34 | -6.97 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 17.44 | 13.17 % | |
| R2 | 17.41 | 12.98 % | ||
| R1 | 16.02 | 3.96 % | ||
| Current price | 15.41 | |||
| Support | S1 | 14.74 | -4.35% | |
| S2 | 14.27 | -7.40% | ||
| S3 | 13.81 | -10.38% |
FAQ
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