Morgan Stanley Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for Morgan Stanley stock price after Tuesday trading.
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Morgan Stanley stock price gained 0.105% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024), rising from $19.04 to $19.06. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.421% from a day low at $19.02 to a day high of $19.10. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.73% for this period. Volume fell on the last day by -62 thousand shares and in total, 135 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.58 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $19.06 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $19.57 and $20.09 at the end of this 3-month period.
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MS-PO Signals & Forecast
The Morgan Stanley stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $19.29 and $19.12. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, July 01, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.105%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Morgan Stanley stock
Morgan Stanley finds support from accumulated volume at $19.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0800 between high and low, or 0.421%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.794%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $18.03 (-5.41%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (MS-PO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Morgan Stanley to open at $19.06, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $18.87 and $19.25, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.190 (+/-1.00%) up or down from last closing price. If Morgan Stanley takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.00% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $19.08 (0.10%) than the support at $19.04 (0.10%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Morgan Stanley stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 2.750 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Morgan Stanley of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $19.06 ( 0.00000000%) | $19.06 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MS-PO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 19.14 | 0.420% |
| R2 | 19.11 | 0.259% |
| R1 | 19.09 | 0.160% |
| Price | 19.06 | |
| S1 | 19.03 | -0.160% |
| S2 | 19.01 | -0.259% |
| S3 | 18.98 | -0.420% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 19.40 | 1.78% |
| R2 | 19.17 | 0.577% |
| R1 | 19.08 | 0.105% |
| Price | 19.06 | |
| S1 | 19.04 | -0.105% |
| S2 | 18.95 | -0.577% |
| S3 | 18.73 | -1.73% |
MS-PO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 28, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | Jul 15, 2024 | $0.266 | 1.39% |
| 2 | Mar 27, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.266 | 1.43% |
| 3 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 16, 2024 | $0.266 | 1.39% |
| 4 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 16, 2023 | $0.266 | 1.61% |
| 5 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jul 17, 2023 | $0.266 | 1.43% |
FAQ
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