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Evaluation of ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged ETF downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged ETF price fell by -2.85% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $13.14 to $12.76. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.94% from a day low at $12.72 to a day high of $12.84. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -8.79% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 6 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $82.17 thousand.
The ETF lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $12.58 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -5.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.93 and $13.16 at the end of this 3-month period.
MVRL Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $13.07 and $13.46. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, July 17, 2026, and so far it has fallen -8.79%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.120 (0.94%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.06%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MVRL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN to open at $12.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $12.58 and $12.94, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.362 (+/-2.88%) up or down from last closing price. If ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.88% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $13.03, some $0.270 (2.12%) from the current price of $12.76, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged Mortgage REIT ETN ETF A Buy?
ETRACS Monthly Pay 1.5X Leveraged holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score:
-5.124
Strong Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $12.77 ( 0.104%).
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MVRL Performance
Trading levels for MVRL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.89 | 1.04% |
| R2 | 12.85 | 0.686% |
| R1 | 12.82 | 0.464% |
| Price | 12.76 | |
| S1 | 12.73 | -0.255% |
| S2 | 12.70 | -0.477% |
| S3 | 12.65 | -0.84% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 14.60 | 14.42% |
| R2 | 13.76 | 7.80% |
| R1 | 13.03 | 2.12% |
| Price | 12.76 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
MVRL Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jul 14, 2026 | Jul 14, 2026 | Jul 22, 2026 | $0.388 | 2.87% |
| 2 | Jun 12, 2026 | Jun 12, 2026 | Jun 23, 2026 | $0.104 | 0.796% |
| 3 | May 13, 2026 | May 13, 2026 | May 21, 2026 | $0.510 | 3.44% |
| 4 | Apr 13, 2026 | Apr 13, 2026 | Apr 21, 2026 | $0.0959 | 0.691% |
| 5 | Mar 13, 2026 | Mar 13, 2026 | Mar 23, 2026 | $0.0883 | 0.629% |
FAQ
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