MXN/CZK Currency Pair Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
MXN/CZK currency pair downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
The MXN/CZK currency pair price fell by -0.585% on the last day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024) from 1.28 Kč to 1.28 Kč. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 1.62% from a day low at 1.27 Kč to a day high of 1.29 Kč. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 3.19% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 109 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 157 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 201.12 Kč thousand.
The currency pair lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the currency pair is expected to fall -12.02% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 1.06 Kč and 1.15 Kč at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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MXNCZK Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 12, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.21%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The MXN/CZK currency pair holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the currency pair giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the currency pair will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at 1.31 Kč. On a fall, the currency pair will find some support from the short-term average at 1.27 Kč. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. MXN/CZK gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for MXN/CZK currency pair
MXN/CZK finds support from accumulated volume at 1.26 Kč and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This currency pair has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the currency pair moved 0.0206 Kč between high and low, or 1.62%. For the last week, the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 1.53%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (MXNCZK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect MXN/CZK to open at 1.28 Kč, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 1.26 Kč and 1.29 Kč, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.0178 Kč (+/-1.39%) up or down from last closing price. If MXN/CZK takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 1.28 Kč (0.59%) than the support at 1.26 Kč (1.68%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is MXN/CZK currency pair A Buy?
MXN/CZK holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.806 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for MXN/CZK of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 1.28 Kč ( 0.341%) | 1.28 Kč |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for MXNCZK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1.30 | 1.96% |
| R2 | 1.29 | 1.34% |
| R1 | 1.29 | 0.96% |
| Price | 1.28 | |
| S1 | 1.27 | -0.276% |
| S2 | 1.27 | -0.657% |
| S3 | 1.26 | -1.27% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 1.39 | 8.91% |
| R2 | 1.29 | 0.677% |
| R1 | 1.28 | 0.588% |
| Price | 1.28 | |
| S1 | 1.26 | -1.68% |
| S2 | 1.25 | -2.16% |
| S3 | 1.25 | -2.34% |
FAQ
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