National Fuel Gas Company Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Stronger technical forecast for National Fuel Gas Company stock price after Friday trading.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The National Fuel Gas Company stock price fell by -1.95% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $54.90 to $53.83. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.28% from a day low at $53.67 to a day high of $54.89. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.18% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 54 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 585 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $31.49 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 16.97% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $61.72 and $64.95 at the end of this 3-month period.
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NFG Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.61%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The National Fuel Gas Company stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $53.82 and $52.73. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for National Fuel Gas Company stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $49.61 and $48.78. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, National Fuel Gas Company finds support just below today's level at $49.61. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $48.78 and $48.00.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $1.23 between high and low, or 2.28%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.21%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $51.74 (-3.88%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NFG) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect National Fuel Gas Company to open at $54.13, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $52.78 and $54.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.05 (+/-1.96%) up or down from last closing price. If National Fuel Gas Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $54.90 (1.99%) than the support at $49.61 (7.84%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
National Fuel Gas Company will release earnings AMC on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.41. We will update the financials statements for National Fuel Gas Company, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.34% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is National Fuel Gas Company stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for National Fuel Gas Company stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.470 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for National Fuel Gas Company of Monday, April 29, 2024
Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$54.13 ( 0.554%) | $53.83 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NFG
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 55.35 | 2.83 % | |
R2 | 54.89 | 1.96 % | ||
R1 | 54.60 | 1.42 % | ||
Current price: | 53.83 | |||
Support | S1 | 53.66 | -0.315 % | |
S2 | 53.37 | -0.85 % | ||
S3 | 52.90 | -1.72 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 55.27 | 2.68 % | ||
R1 | 54.90 | 1.99 % | ||
Current price | 53.83 | |||
Support | S1 | 49.61 | -7.84% | |
S2 | 48.78 | -9.38% | ||
S3 | 48.00 | -10.83% |
NFG Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 11, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | Apr 15, 2024 | $0.495 | 0.94% |
2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Jan 12, 2024 | $0.495 | 0.98% |
3 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Oct 13, 2023 | $0.495 | 0.92% |
4 | Jun 15, 2023 | Jun 29, 2023 | Jul 14, 2023 | $0.495 | 0.98% |
5 | Mar 09, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Apr 14, 2023 | $0.475 | 0.85% |
FAQ
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