Netflix Stock Forecast
Netflix stock price up 0.573% on Wednesday
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The Netflix stock price gained 0.573% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 8th May 2024), rising from $606.00 to $609.47. It has now gained 6 days in a row. It is not often that stocks manage to gain so many days in a row, and falls for a day or two should be expected. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.76% from a day low at $601.63 to a day high of $618.22. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 9.79% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -399 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.87 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Netflix stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $548.01 and $632.42 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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NFLX Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Netflix stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $579.90 and $600.60. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.68%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Netflix stock
Netflix finds support from accumulated volume at $605.88 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $16.59 between high and low, or 2.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.53%.
Since the Netflix has been rising for 6 days in a row, the risk over the next couple of days has increased. We don't expect a major reaction as the stock is in very good shape technically, and therefore hold a positive evaluation despite the very short term risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $588.14 (-3.50%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (NFLX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 9th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 9th we expect Netflix to open at $609.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $592.68 and $626.26, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$16.79 (+/-2.75%) up or down from last closing price. If Netflix takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.51% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $610.56 (0.18%) than the support at $605.88 (0.59%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Netflix stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for Netflix stock to perform well in the short-term period.
Current score: 1.828 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Netflix of Thursday, May 9, 2024
| Fair opening price May 9, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $609.77 ( 0.0498%) | $609.47 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NFLX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 626.36 | 2.77 % | |
| R2 | 620.03 | 1.73 % | ||
| R1 | 616.11 | 1.09 % | ||
| Current price: | 609.47 | |||
| Support | S1 | 603.44 | -0.99 % | |
| S2 | 599.52 | -1.63 % | ||
| S3 | 593.18 | -2.67 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 619.34 | 1.62 % | |
| R2 | 617.52 | 1.32 % | ||
| R1 | 610.56 | 0.179 % | ||
| Current price | 609.47 | |||
| Support | S1 | 605.88 | -0.589% | |
| S2 | 555.04 | -8.93% | ||
| S3 | 554.60 | -9.00% |
FAQ
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