Nzd/jpy Currency Pair Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 31, 2026

The NZD/JPY currency pair price fell by -1.13% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from JP¥93.89 to JP¥92.82. During the last trading day the currency pair fluctuated 1.77% from a day low at JP¥92.77 to a day high of JP¥94.41. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.13% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 287 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 288 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥26.75 million.

The currency pair is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect NZD/JPY currency pair with a 90% probability to be traded between JP¥92.09 and JP¥96.48 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and currency pairs seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Currency pairs turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

NZDJPY Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The NZD/JPY currency pair holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the currency pair. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥94.30 and JP¥93.30. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 21, 2026, and so far it has fallen -2.35%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the currency pair should be followed more closely. The currency pair had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, July 08, 2026 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the currency pair in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NZD/JPY currency pair

NZD/JPY finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥92.70 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the currency pair tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this currency pair. During the last day, the currency pair moved JP¥1.65 between high and low, or 1.77%. For the last week the currency pair has had daily average volatility of 1.16%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (NZDJPY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect NZD/JPY to open at JP¥93.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥92.46 and JP¥93.19, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥0.729 (+/-0.79%) up or down from last closing price. If NZD/JPY takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.79% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥92.94 (0.13%) than the support at JP¥92.70 (0.13%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is NZD/JPY currency pair A Buy?

NZD/JPY holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this currency pair. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this currency pair since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.630 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - JP¥93.34 ( 0.552%).

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