Obsidian Energy Ltd Stock Forecast
Red day on Friday for Obsidian Energy Ltd stock after losing 0.535%
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Obsidian Energy Ltd stock price fell by -0.535% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $11.22 to $11.16. It has now fallen 7 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.34% from a day low at $11.10 to a day high of $11.36. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.54% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -24 thousand shares and in total, 133 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.49 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $11.09 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 37.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $15.28 and $17.05 at the end of this 3-month period.
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OBE.TO Signals & Forecast
The Obsidian Energy Ltd stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $11.47. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $10.83. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.92%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Obsidian Energy Ltd stock
Obsidian Energy Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at $11.07 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.260 between high and low, or 2.34%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.24%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.51 (-5.84%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 7 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (OBE.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Obsidian Energy Ltd to open at $11.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.87 and $11.45, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.294 (+/-2.63%) up or down from last closing price. If Obsidian Energy Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.27% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $11.07 (0.81%) than the resistance at $11.57 (3.67%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Obsidian Energy Ltd stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Obsidian Energy Ltd stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.062 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Obsidian Energy Ltd of Monday, April 22, 2024
| Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $11.21 ( 0.418%) | $11.16 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OBE.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.47 | 2.75 % | |
| R2 | 11.37 | 1.86 % | ||
| R1 | 11.31 | 1.31 % | ||
| Current price: | 11.16 | |||
| Support | S1 | 11.11 | -0.472 % | |
| S2 | 11.05 | -1.02 % | ||
| S3 | 10.95 | -1.91 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.99 | 7.44 % | |
| R2 | 11.75 | 5.29 % | ||
| R1 | 11.57 | 3.67 % | ||
| Current price | 11.16 | |||
| Support | S1 | 11.07 | -0.81% | |
| S2 | 9.62 | -13.80% | ||
| S3 | 9.05 | -18.91% |
OBE Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 28, 2015 | Sep 28, 2015 | Oct 15, 2015 | $0.0700 | 0.680% |
| 2 | Jun 26, 2015 | Jun 26, 2015 | Jun 26, 2015 | $0.0700 | 0.459% |
| 3 | Mar 27, 2015 | Mar 27, 2015 | Mar 27, 2015 | $0.0700 | 0.478% |
| 4 | Dec 29, 2014 | Dec 29, 2014 | Dec 29, 2014 | $0.98 | 5.71% |
| 5 | Sep 26, 2014 | Sep 26, 2014 | Sep 26, 2014 | $0.98 | 1.83% |
FAQ
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