Aura Minerals Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Aura Minerals Inc stock price down 4.08% on Friday
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Aura Minerals Inc stock price fell by -4.08% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from $12.00 to $11.51. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.69% from a day low at $11.51 to a day high of $12.28. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -11.46% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 21 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 27 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $312.11 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 21.97% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.04 and $16.40 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ORA.TO Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Aura Minerals Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $12.08 and $12.28. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, June 19, 2024, and so far it has fallen -12.67%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Aura Minerals Inc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, November 21, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, November 21, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aura Minerals Inc stock
Aura Minerals Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $11.23 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.770 between high and low, or 6.69%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.51%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ORA.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 2nd we expect Aura Minerals Inc to open at $11.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.97 and $12.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.539 (+/-4.68%) up or down from last closing price. If Aura Minerals Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 9.36% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $11.23 (2.43%) than the resistance at $12.18 (5.82%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Aura Minerals Inc stock A Buy?
The Aura Minerals Inc stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Aura Minerals Inc will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -2.631 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Aura Minerals Inc of Tuesday, July 2, 2024
| Fair opening price July 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $11.77 ( 2.23%) | $11.51 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ORA.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 12.54 | 8.92% |
| R2 | 12.24 | 6.36% |
| R1 | 12.06 | 4.79% |
| Price | 11.51 | |
| S1 | 11.47 | -0.326% |
| S2 | 11.29 | -1.90% |
| S3 | 11.00 | -4.46% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 13.00 | 12.95% |
| R2 | 12.70 | 10.34% |
| R1 | 12.18 | 5.82% |
| Price | 11.51 | |
| S1 | 11.23 | -2.43% |
| S2 | 10.95 | -4.87% |
| S3 | 10.72 | -6.86% |
ORA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 20, 2024 | Jun 20, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | $0.480 | 4.17% |
| 2 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 31, 2023 | $0.250 | 2.71% |
| 3 | Nov 29, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | $0.347 | 3.67% |
| 4 | Jun 09, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.185 | 2.05% |
| 5 | Dec 22, 2022 | Dec 22, 2022 | Dec 30, 2022 | $0.190 | 2.40% |
FAQ
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