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AI Analysis of ORG.AX
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Evaluation of Origin Energy Limited stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)

Buy or Hold candidate since Feb 13, 2024 Gain 13.70% PDF

The Origin Energy Limited stock price fell by -0.716% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $9.78 to $9.71. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.17% from a day low at $9.67 to a day high of $9.88. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.78% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 598 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $22.34 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a narrow and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 17.22% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $11.17 and $11.59 at the end of this 3-month period.

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ORG.AX Signals & Forecast

The Origin Energy Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $9.79. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $9.32. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.32%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Origin Energy Limited stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $9.12 and $8.86. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Origin Energy Limited finds support just below today's level at $9.12. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $8.86 and $8.78.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.210 between high and low, or 2.17%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.60%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $9.41 (-3.14%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ORG.AX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Origin Energy Limited to open at $9.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.55 and $9.87, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.156 (+/-1.61%) up or down from last closing price. If Origin Energy Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.21% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $9.76 (0.51%) than the support at $9.12 (6.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Earnings coming up

Origin Energy Limited will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 01, 2024. We will update the financials statements for Origin Energy Limited, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 1.60% in the first trading day after earnings release.

Is Origin Energy Limited stock A Buy?

Origin Energy Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: -0.337 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Origin Energy Limited of Monday, April 29, 2024

Fair opening price April 29, 2024 Current price
$9.75 ( 0.446%) $9.71

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.

Trading levels for ORG.AX

Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 9.96 2.61 %
R2 9.88 1.78 %
R1 9.83 1.27 %
Current price: 9.71
Support S1 9.67 -0.380 %
S2 9.62 -0.89 %
S3 9.54 -1.72 %

Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels

Level Price
Resistance R3 9.81 1.03 %
R2 9.77 0.618 %
R1 9.76 0.515 %
Current price 9.71
Support S1 9.12 -6.08%
S2 8.86 -8.75%
S3 8.78 -9.58%

ORG Dividend Payout History


# Declaration Date Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Yield
1 Mar 05, 2024 Mar 05, 2024 Mar 28, 2024 $0.275 2.99%
2 Jan 12, 2024 Jan 12, 2024 Jan 12, 2024 $0 0%
3 Nov 29, 2023 Nov 29, 2023 Nov 29, 2023 $0 0%
4 Feb 28, 2023 Feb 28, 2023 Feb 28, 2023 $0.165 2.06%
5 Sep 06, 2022 Sep 06, 2022 Sep 06, 2022 $0.165 2.78%

FAQ

What is the symbol for Origin Energy Limited Stock and on which exchange is it traded?
The symbol for Origin Energy Limited is ORG.AX and it is traded on the ASX (Australian Securities Exchange).

Should I buy or sell Origin Energy Limited Stock?
Origin Energy Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

How to buy Origin Energy Limited Stock?
Origin Energy Limited Stock can be purchased through just about any brokerage firm, including online brokerage services.
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Origin Energy Limited Stock.

What's the current price of Origin Energy Limited Stock?
As of the end of day on the Apr 26, 2024, the price of an Origin Energy Limited (ORG.AX) share was $9.71.

What is the 52-week high and low for Origin Energy Limited Stock?
The 52-week high for Origin Energy Limited Stock is $9.89 and the 52-week low is $7.77.

What is the market capitalization of Origin Energy Limited Stock?
As of the Apr 26, 2024, the market capitalization of Origin Energy Limited is 16.726B.

When is the next earnings date for Origin Energy Limited?
The upcoming earnings date for Origin Energy Limited is May 01, 2024.
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About Origin Energy Limited

Origin Energy Limited Origin Energy Limited, an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail sale of electricity and gas, and sale of liquefied natural gas in Australia and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Energy Markets and Integrated Gas. Its exploration and production portfolio includes the Bowen and Surat basins in Queensland; the Browse basin in Western... ORG.AX Profile

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