Otter Tail Corporation Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Otter Tail Corporation stock price ended at $87.05 on Thursday, after gaining 0.392%.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Otter Tail Corporation stock price gained 0.392% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from $86.71 to $87.05. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.14% from a day low at $86.51 to a day high of $87.50. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.78% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -15 thousand shares and in total, 119 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.34 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.46% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $69.47 and $83.41 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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OTTR Signals & Forecast
Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Otter Tail Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $85.85 and $83.88. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, March 18, 2024, and so far it has risen 8.39%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Otter Tail Corporation stock
Otter Tail Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $85.15 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.99 between high and low, or 1.14%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.69%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $84.37 (-3.08%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 32 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (OTTR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Otter Tail Corporation to open at $87.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $85.38 and $88.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.67 (+/-1.92%) up or down from last closing price. If Otter Tail Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.85% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $87.55 (0.57%) than the support at $85.15 (2.18%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Earnings coming up
Otter Tail Corporation will release earnings AMC on Monday, May 06, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.25. We will update the financials statements for Otter Tail Corporation, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 2.49% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Otter Tail Corporation stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.387 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Otter Tail Corporation of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $87.02 ( 0.0345%) | $87.05 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for OTTR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 88.01 | 1.10 % | |
| R2 | 87.63 | 0.668 % | ||
| R1 | 87.40 | 0.400 % | ||
| Current price: | 87.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 86.64 | -0.469 % | |
| S2 | 86.41 | -0.737 % | ||
| S3 | 86.03 | -1.17 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 90.17 | 3.58 % | |
| R2 | 89.18 | 2.45 % | ||
| R1 | 87.55 | 0.569 % | ||
| Current price | 87.05 | |||
| Support | S1 | 85.15 | -2.18% | |
| S2 | 82.17 | -5.61% | ||
| S3 | 80.84 | -7.13% |
OTTR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 05, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | $0.468 | 0.550% |
| 2 | Oct 30, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 08, 2023 | $0.440 | 0.579% |
| 3 | Jul 31, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Sep 08, 2023 | $0.438 | 0.578% |
| 4 | May 01, 2023 | May 12, 2023 | Jun 09, 2023 | $0.438 | 0.564% |
| 5 | Feb 03, 2023 | Feb 13, 2023 | Mar 10, 2023 | $0.438 | 0.635% |
FAQ
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