Oak Valley Bancorp(nda) Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 09, 2026 Loss -4.72%

The Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) stock price fell by -2.64% on the last day (Monday, 22nd Jun 2026) from $34.03 to $33.13. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 8.57% from a day low at $33.01 to a day high of $35.84. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -3.16% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -104 thousand shares and in total, 32 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.06 million.

The stock lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $32.81 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.48% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $33.62 and $36.56 at the end of this 3-month period.

OVLY Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $33.98 and $33.52. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 12, 2026, and so far it has fallen -5.32%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) stock

Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) finds support from accumulated volume at $32.91 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock. During the last day, the stock moved $2.83 between high and low, or 8.57%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.78%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $31.29 (-5.55%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (OVLY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 23rd we expect Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) to open at $33.99, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $32.58 and $33.68, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.10 (+/-3.37%) up or down from last closing price. If Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $33.26 (0.39%) than the support at $32.91 (0.66%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) stock A Buy?

Oak Valley Bancorp(NDA) holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.687 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 23, 2026 - $33.99 ( 2.61%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk