Parag Milk Foods Limited Stock Forecast
Parag Milk Foods Limited stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Parag Milk Foods Limited stock price gained 1.26% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from ₹213.55 to ₹216.25. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.41% from a day low at ₹213.75 to a day high of ₹218.90. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.98% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -173 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹330.52 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at ₹224.04 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -14.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹141.17 and ₹191.62 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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PARAGMILK.NS Signals & Forecast
The Parag Milk Foods Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock, but the stock has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹207.36 and ₹211.83. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, March 13, 2024, and so far it has risen 12.13%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Parag Milk Foods Limited stock
Parag Milk Foods Limited finds support from accumulated volume at ₹210.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved ₹5.15 between high and low, or 2.41%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.08%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹208.85 (-3.42%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 44 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (PARAGMILK.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Parag Milk Foods Limited to open at ₹216.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹209.36 and ₹223.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹6.89 (+/-3.19%) up or down from last closing price. If Parag Milk Foods Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹217.60 (0.62%) than the support at ₹210.95 (2.45%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Parag Milk Foods Limited stock A Buy?
Parag Milk Foods Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Parag Milk Foods Limited of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹216.30 ( 0.0231%) | ₹216.25 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PARAGMILK.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 221.45 | 2.40 % | |
R2 | 219.48 | 1.49 % | ||
R1 | 218.27 | 0.93 % | ||
Current price: | 216.25 | |||
Support | S1 | 214.33 | -0.89 % | |
S2 | 213.12 | -1.45 % | ||
S3 | 211.15 | -2.36 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 221.25 | 2.31 % | |
R2 | 220.05 | 1.76 % | ||
R1 | 217.60 | 0.624 % | ||
Current price | 216.25 | |||
Support | S1 | 210.95 | -2.45% | |
S2 | 205.55 | -4.95% | ||
S3 | 202.60 | -6.31% |
PARAGMILK Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sep 07, 2021 | Sep 07, 2021 | Sep 07, 2021 | ₹0.500 | 0.378% |
2 | Sep 21, 2020 | Sep 21, 2020 | Sep 21, 2020 | ₹0.500 | 0.511% |
3 | May 11, 2019 | Sep 20, 2019 | Oct 30, 2019 | ₹1.00 | 0.703% |
4 | May 10, 2018 | Sep 11, 2018 | Oct 19, 2018 | ₹0.750 | 0.296% |
5 | May 29, 2017 | Aug 01, 2017 | Aug 01, 2017 | ₹0.500 | 0.201% |
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