Pebblebrook Hotel Trust Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock price fell by -2.33% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024) from £10.75 to £10.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.01% from a day low at £10.14 to a day high of £10.75. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still down by -1.41% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 44 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 128 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £1.35 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 6.38% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £9.91 and £11.83 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PEB.L Signals & Forecast
The Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately £10.56. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately £10.34. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has fallen -4.55%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Pebblebrook Hotel Trust gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust finds support from accumulated volume at £10.35 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved £0.609 (6.01%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.70%.
Our recommended stop-loss: £10.09 (-3.94%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (PEB.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect Pebblebrook Hotel Trust to open at £10.46, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £9.76 and £11.24, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£0.738 (+/-7.03%) up or down from last closing price. If Pebblebrook Hotel Trust takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 14.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at £10.35 (1.43%) than the resistance at £10.75 (2.38%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Pebblebrook Hotel Trust stock A Buy?
Pebblebrook Hotel Trust holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.328 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Pebblebrook Hotel Trust of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
£10.46 ( 0.378%) | £10.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PEB.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 11.07 | 5.42 % | |
R2 | 10.84 | 3.21 % | ||
R1 | 10.69 | 1.84 % | ||
Current price: | 10.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.23 | -2.59 % | |
S2 | 10.08 | -3.96 % | ||
S3 | 9.85 | -6.18 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 11.00 | 4.76 % | |
R2 | 10.82 | 3.05 % | ||
R1 | 10.75 | 2.38 % | ||
Current price | 10.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 10.35 | -1.43% | |
S2 | 10.25 | -2.38% | ||
S3 | 10.00 | -4.76% |
PEB Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 22, 2016 | Jun 23, 2016 | Jul 18, 2016 | £1.50 | 11.88% |
2 | Mar 24, 2015 | Jun 25, 2015 | Jul 17, 2015 | £1.50 | 2.61% |
3 | Mar 28, 2014 | Jun 25, 2014 | Jul 18, 2014 | £1.25 | 2.79% |
4 | Mar 25, 2013 | Jun 26, 2013 | Jul 19, 2013 | £1.25 | 3.60% |
5 | Mar 27, 2012 | Jun 27, 2012 | Jul 20, 2012 | £1.25 | 4.20% |
FAQ
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