Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants stock price on Thursday moving 15.54% between high and low
(Updated on Jun 27, 2024)
The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants stock price fell by -8.33% on the last day (Thursday, 27th Jun 2024) from $0.120 to $0.110. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 15.54% from a day low at $0.108 to a day high of $0.125. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -4.76% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -33 thousand shares and in total, 19 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.10 thousand.
The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -13.64% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.0570 and $0.125 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PGYWW Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $0.114. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $0.108. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -33.01%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $0.104 and $0.100. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants finds support just below today's level at $0.104. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $0.100 and $0.0910.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0168 between high and low, or 15.54%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 22.55%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (PGYWW) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 28th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 28th we expect Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants to open at $0.114, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.0891 and $0.131, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0209 (+/-19.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 38.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $0.115 (4.18%) than the support at $0.104 (5.36%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants stock A Buy?
Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.785 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Pagaya Technologies Ltd. Warrants of Friday, June 28, 2024
| Fair opening price June 28, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.114 ( 3.94%) | $0.110 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PGYWW
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.131 | 19.21% |
| R2 | 0.125 | 13.38% |
| R1 | 0.121 | 9.77% |
| Price | 0.110 | |
| S1 | 0.108 | -1.89% |
| S2 | 0.104 | -5.50% |
| S3 | 0.0975 | -11.33% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 0.120 | 9.09% |
| R2 | 0.115 | 4.55% |
| R1 | 0.115 | 4.18% |
| Price | 0.110 | |
| S1 | 0.104 | -5.36% |
| S2 | 0.100 | -9.00% |
| S3 | 0.0910 | -17.27% |
FAQ
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