Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF Forecast
Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF price fell by -3.16% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $52.79 to $51.12. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 3.44% from a day low at $50.93 to a day high of $52.68. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -10.58% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 17 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 30 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.53 million.
Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.58% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $56.01 and $65.87 at the end of this 3-month period.
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PTF Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $54.12 and $56.24. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, March 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -12.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF
Invesco DWA Technology Momentum finds support from accumulated volume at $50.89 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.75 between high and low, or 3.44%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.78%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (PTF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF to open at $51.58, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $49.75 and $52.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.37 (+/-2.69%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.37% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $50.89 (0.45%) than the resistance at $51.57 (0.88%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF ETF A Buy?
The Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Invesco DWA Technology Momentum will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.694 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Invesco DWA Technology Momentum ETF of Monday, April 22, 2024
Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$51.58 ( 0.90%) | $51.12 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for PTF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 53.33 | 4.33 % | |
R2 | 52.66 | 3.02 % | ||
R1 | 52.25 | 2.21 % | ||
Current price: | 51.12 | |||
Support | S1 | 50.91 | -0.415 % | |
S2 | 50.49 | -1.22 % | ||
S3 | 49.82 | -2.53 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 55.48 | 8.53 % | |
R2 | 53.72 | 5.09 % | ||
R1 | 51.57 | 0.88 % | ||
Current price | 51.12 | |||
Support | S1 | 50.89 | -0.450% | |
S2 | 50.83 | -0.567% | ||
S3 | 50.10 | -2.00% |
PTF Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | $0.0160 | 0.0369% |
2 | Sep 08, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.0193 | 0.0418% |
3 | Sep 25, 2018 | Sep 24, 2018 | Sep 28, 2018 | $0.0030 | 0.0136% |
4 | Jun 15, 2018 | Jun 18, 2018 | Jun 29, 2018 | $0.0400 | 0.200% |
5 | Sep 18, 2017 | Sep 18, 2017 | Sep 29, 2017 | $0.0210 | 0.125% |
FAQ
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