Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Tuesday for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative ETF after losing 0%
(Updated on Jun 25, 2024)
No changes to the price of Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative ETF on the last trading day (Tuesday, 25th Jun 2024). During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0% from a day low at $58.78 to a day high of $58.78. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.51% over the past 2 weeks.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.76% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $56.91 and $62.82 at the end of this 3-month period.
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QMOM Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 21, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.19%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $58.84. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $58.51. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, September 07, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, September 07, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative ETF
Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative finds support from accumulated volume at $58.32 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF During the last day, the ETF moved $0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.06%
Our recommended stop-loss: $55.36 (-5.82%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (QMOM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 26th we expect Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Momentum ETF to open at $58.78, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $57.90 and $59.66, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.88 (+/-1.49%) up or down from last closing price. If Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Momentum ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.99% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $58.95 (0.29%) than the support at $58.32 (0.78%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Momentum ETF ETF A Buy?
Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.922 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Momentum ETF of Wednesday, June 26, 2024
| Fair opening price June 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $58.78 ( 0%) | $58.78 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for QMOM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 58.78 | - |
| R2 | 58.78 | - |
| R1 | 58.78 | - |
| Price | 58.78 | |
| S1 | 58.78 | - |
| S2 | 58.78 | - |
| S3 | 58.78 | - |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 59.50 | 1.22% |
| R2 | 59.08 | 0.510% |
| R1 | 58.95 | 0.289% |
| Price | 58.78 | |
| S1 | 58.32 | -0.783% |
| S2 | 57.97 | -1.38% |
| S3 | 54.97 | -6.48% |
QMOM Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.436 | 0.87% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2022 | Dec 29, 2022 | Jan 06, 2023 | $0.729 | 1.60% |
| 3 | Dec 29, 2021 | Dec 30, 2021 | Jan 05, 2022 | $0.0630 | 0.129% |
| 4 | Mar 13, 2020 | Mar 16, 2020 | Mar 23, 2020 | $0.0440 | 0.196% |
| 5 | Mar 15, 2019 | Mar 18, 2019 | Mar 25, 2019 | $0.0020 | 0.0069% |
FAQ
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