Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf ETF Forecast
Evaluation of Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 26, 2024)
The Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf ETF price fell by -1.25% on the last day (Wednesday, 26th Jun 2024) from $33.64 to $33.22. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.316% from a day low at $33.20 to a day high of $33.31. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.31% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 17 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 144 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.80 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $32.98 and $34.77 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SCHQ Signals & Forecast
The Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $33.51. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $32.85. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.45%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf ETF
Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf finds support from accumulated volume at $33.04 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.105 between high and low, or 0.316%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.563%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SCHQ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 27th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 27th we expect Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf to open at $33.24, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $32.89 and $33.55, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.327 (+/-0.98%) up or down from last closing price. If Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.97% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $33.04 (0.54%) than the resistance at $33.48 (0.78%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf ETF A Buy?
Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.295 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Schwab Long-term U.s. Treasury Etf of Thursday, June 27, 2024
Fair opening price June 27, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$33.24 ( 0.0652%) | $33.22 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SCHQ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 33.35 | 0.381% |
R2 | 33.31 | 0.261% |
R1 | 33.28 | 0.186% |
Price | 33.22 | |
S1 | 33.20 | -0.0555% |
S2 | 33.18 | -0.130% |
S3 | 33.14 | -0.251% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 33.75 | 1.60% |
R2 | 33.70 | 1.44% |
R1 | 33.48 | 0.783% |
Price | 33.22 | |
S1 | 33.04 | -0.542% |
S2 | 32.25 | -2.92% |
S3 | 31.81 | -4.24% |
FAQ
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