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Weaker technical forecast for Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jun 05, 2026)
The Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF price fell by -1.93% on the last day (Friday, 5th Jun 2026) from $34.18 to $33.52. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.58% from a day low at $33.48 to a day high of $34.01. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.58% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $151.06 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 11.51% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $36.28 and $38.18 at the end of this 3-month period.
SCHV Signals & Forecast
The Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $33.77. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $32.78. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 04, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.93%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $31.49 and $31.09. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value finds support just below today's level at $31.49. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $31.09 and $30.62.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.528 between high and low, or 1.58%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.96%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $32.39 (-3.37%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (SCHV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 8th we expect Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF to open at $33.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $33.35 and $33.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.338 (+/-1.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $33.53 (0.03%) than the support at $31.49 (6.06%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF ETF A Buy?
Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.336
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 8, 2026 - $33.67 ( 0.445%).
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SCHV Performance
Trading levels for SCHV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 34.20 | 2.02% |
| R2 | 34.00 | 1.42% |
| R1 | 33.87 | 1.05% |
| Price | 33.52 | |
| S1 | 33.47 | -0.156% |
| S2 | 33.34 | -0.528% |
| S3 | 33.14 | -1.13% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 34.18 | 1.97% |
| R2 | 33.55 | 0.0895% |
| R1 | 33.53 | 0.0298% |
| Price | 33.52 | |
| S1 | 31.49 | -6.06% |
| S2 | 31.09 | -7.25% |
| S3 | 30.62 | -8.65% |
SCHV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 25, 2026 | Mar 25, 2026 | Mar 30, 2026 | $0.141 | 0.461% |
| 2 | Dec 10, 2025 | Dec 10, 2025 | Dec 15, 2025 | $0.165 | 0.557% |
| 3 | Sep 24, 2025 | Sep 24, 2025 | Sep 29, 2025 | $0.148 | 0.509% |
| 4 | Jun 25, 2025 | Jun 25, 2025 | Jun 30, 2025 | $0.145 | 0.525% |
| 5 | Feb 18, 2025 | Mar 26, 2025 | Mar 31, 2025 | $0.141 | 0.531% |
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