Shah Alloys Limited Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Shah Alloys Limited as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)
The Shah Alloys Limited stock price fell by -0.676% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024) from ₹66.54 to ₹66.09. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.24% from a day low at ₹65.61 to a day high of ₹68.39. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 26.61% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 29 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 47 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹3.08 million.
The stock is moving within a very wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Shah Alloys Limited stock with a 90% probability to be traded between ₹52.05 and ₹69.86 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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SHAHALLOYS.NS Signals & Forecast
The Shah Alloys Limited stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately ₹67.01. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately ₹62.02. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -5.63%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Shah Alloys Limited stock
Shah Alloys Limited finds support from accumulated volume at ₹65.71 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₹2.78 between high and low, or 4.24%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 7.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹63.55 (-3.85%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SHAHALLOYS.NS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect Shah Alloys Limited to open at ₹66.70, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹62.04 and ₹70.14, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹4.05 (+/-6.12%) up or down from last closing price. If Shah Alloys Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹66.19 (0.15%) than the support at ₹65.71 (0.57%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Shah Alloys Limited stock A Buy?
Shah Alloys Limited holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.385 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Shah Alloys Limited of Friday, June 21, 2024
Fair opening price June 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹66.70 ( 0.92%) | ₹66.09 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SHAHALLOYS.NS
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 69.48 | 5.12% |
R2 | 68.41 | 3.52% |
R1 | 67.76 | 2.52% |
Price | 66.09 | |
S1 | 65.63 | -0.689% |
S2 | 64.98 | -1.68% |
S3 | 63.92 | -3.29% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 70.03 | 5.96% |
R2 | 69.24 | 4.77% |
R1 | 66.19 | 0.151% |
Price | 66.09 | |
S1 | 65.71 | -0.575% |
S2 | 65.39 | -1.06% |
S3 | 57.95 | -12.32% |
SHAHALLOYS Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 30, 2007 | Sep 06, 2007 | Oct 01, 2007 | ₹1.00 | 1.48% |
2 | Aug 01, 2006 | Sep 15, 2006 | Oct 04, 2006 | ₹1.00 | 0.595% |
3 | Sep 08, 2005 | Sep 08, 2005 | Sep 08, 2005 | ₹0.500 | 0.310% |
FAQ
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