Steven Madden Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 27, 2026 Gain 5.87%

The Steven Madden stock price fell by -3.66% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $47.83 to $46.08. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.19% from a day low at $45.49 to a day high of $48.76. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 6.13% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 119 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $101.93 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.98% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.72 and $52.20 at the end of this 3-month period.

SHOO Signals & Forecast

The Steven Madden stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $44.25 and $42.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, July 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.66%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Steven Madden stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $43.40 and $43.22. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Steven Madden finds support just below today's level at $43.40. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $43.22 and $40.02.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $3.27 between high and low, or 7.19%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.01%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $44.20 (-4.09%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (SHOO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Steven Madden to open at $46.77, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $45.16 and $47.00, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.84 (+/-4.07%) up or down from last closing price. If Steven Madden takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.07% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $46.15 (0.15%) than the support at $43.40 (5.82%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For SHOO

Dividend coming up for SHOO: Ex-dividend date (Friday 11th September, 2026) is 39 days away. The dividend is $0.210.

Is Steven Madden stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Steven Madden stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.258 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $46.77 ( 1.50%).

Want to trade but not sure how? Our step-by-step guide can help.
Skip the guide? Open account with our trusted broker*
*Your capital is at risk