Shriram Finance Limited Stock Forecast
Red day on Friday for Shriram Finance Limited
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Shriram Finance Limited stock price fell by -1.15% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from ₹2,946.05 to ₹2,912.10. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.30% from a day low at ₹2,900.00 to a day high of ₹2,966.80. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.46% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 9 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ₹26.93 million.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at ₹3,008.47 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 11.54% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ₹2,617.56 and ₹3,355.70 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SHRIRAMFIN.BO Signals & Forecast
The Shriram Finance Limited stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at ₹2,907.19 and ₹2,537.65. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 25, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.70%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Shriram Finance Limited stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at ₹2,502.00 and ₹2,428.15. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Shriram Finance Limited finds support just below today's level at ₹2,502.00. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at ₹2,428.15 and ₹2,258.50.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved ₹66.80 between high and low, or 2.30%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.55%.
The Shriram Finance Limited stock is overbought on RSI14 and the RSI has been falling for the last couple of days. This together with the fact that the stock is in the upper part of the trend poses a possible good selling opportunity for the short-term trader. However, one should note that some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: ₹2,809.54 (-3.52%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 82 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 17 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SHRIRAMFIN.BO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Shriram Finance Limited to open at ₹2,926.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ₹2,819.61 and ₹3,004.59, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-₹92.49 (+/-3.18%) up or down from last closing price. If Shriram Finance Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.35% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at ₹2,946.05 (1.17%) than the support at ₹2,502.00 (14.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Shriram Finance Limited stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Shriram Finance Limited stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.677 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Shriram Finance Limited of Monday, July 1, 2024
Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
₹2,926.30 ( 0.488%) | ₹2,912.10 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SHRIRAMFIN.BO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 2,993.10 | 2.78% |
R2 | 2,967.58 | 1.91% |
R1 | 2,951.82 | 1.36% |
Price | 2,912.10 | |
S1 | 2,900.78 | -0.389% |
S2 | 2,885.02 | -0.93% |
S3 | 2,859.50 | -1.81% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 2,992.90 | 2.77% |
R2 | 2,987.40 | 2.59% |
R1 | 2,946.05 | 1.17% |
Price | 2,912.10 | |
S1 | 2,502.00 | -14.08% |
S2 | 2,428.15 | -16.62% |
S3 | 2,258.50 | -22.44% |
SHRIRAMFIN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jul 23, 2024 | Jul 23, 2024 | Aug 28, 2024 | ₹15.00 | 0.515% |
2 | Feb 06, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | Feb 17, 2024 | ₹10.00 | 0.410% |
3 | Nov 06, 2023 | Nov 06, 2023 | Nov 25, 2023 | ₹20.00 | 1.03% |
4 | Jun 16, 2023 | Jun 16, 2023 | Jul 22, 2023 | ₹20.00 | 1.09% |
5 | Nov 10, 2017 | Nov 10, 2017 | Dec 01, 2017 | ₹4.87 | 0.367% |
FAQ
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