ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
![Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 1](https://stockinvest.us/assets/img/legend/boll_tight.gif?v=7561)
![Bollinger Bottleneck Buy Pattern 2](https://stockinvest.us/assets/img/legend/boll_tight2.gif?v=7561)
![Bollinger Bottleneck Sell Pattern](https://stockinvest.us/assets/img/legend/boll_tight3.gif?v=7561)
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF price ended at $10.34 on Friday, after gaining 2.48%.
(Updated on Jun 14, 2024)
The ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF price gained 2.48% on the last trading day (Friday, 14th Jun 2024), rising from $10.09 to $10.34. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.97% from a day low at $10.34 to a day high of $10.44. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 5.08% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -3 thousand shares and in total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $42.36 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the upper part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $10.46 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 3.71% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $9.89 and $10.85 at the end of this 3-month period.
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SIJ Signals & Forecast
The ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $10.07 and $9.82. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, May 13, 2024, and so far it has risen 10.00%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may not be. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF
ProShares UltraShort Industrials finds support from accumulated volume at $10.14 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.100 between high and low, or 0.97%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.91%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $10.01 (-3.22%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 39 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (SIJ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 17th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 17th we expect ProShares UltraShort Industrials to open at $10.37, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.14 and $10.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.201 (+/-1.94%) up or down from last closing price. If ProShares UltraShort Industrials takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.89% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $10.14, some $0.205 (1.98%) from the current price of $10.34, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for ProShares UltraShort Industrials ETF to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 3.376 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for ProShares UltraShort Industrials of Monday, June 17, 2024
Fair opening price June 17, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$10.37 ( 0.323%) | $10.34 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SIJ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 10.47 | 1.29% |
R2 | 10.44 | 0.92% |
R1 | 10.41 | 0.693% |
Price | 10.34 | |
S1 | 10.34 | -0.0471% |
S2 | 10.31 | -0.276% |
S3 | 10.27 | -0.645% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 0 | - |
R2 | 0 | - |
R1 | 0 | - |
Price | 10.34 | |
S1 | 10.14 | -1.98% |
S2 | 10.08 | -2.51% |
S3 | 10.00 | -3.29% |
SIJ Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 27, 2024 | $0.107 | 1.15% |
2 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | $0.186 | 1.58% |
3 | Jan 06, 2023 | Sep 20, 2023 | Sep 27, 2023 | $0.170 | 1.18% |
4 | Jan 06, 2023 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.130 | 0.97% |
5 | Jan 06, 2023 | Mar 22, 2023 | Mar 29, 2023 | $0.0700 | 0.469% |
FAQ
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