Spark New Zealand Limited Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Spark New Zealand Limited as stock downgraded to Strong Sell Candidate.
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The Spark New Zealand Limited stock price fell by -2.49% on the last day (Wednesday, 8th May 2024) from $4.02 to $3.92. It has now fallen 6 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.06% from a day low at $3.92 to a day high of $4.04. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -9.47% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 414 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.83 million.
The stock has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($4.04) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $3.83 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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SPK.AX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Spark New Zealand Limited stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $4.16 and $4.32. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has fallen -9.47%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Spark New Zealand Limited stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.120 between high and low, or 3.06%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.78%.
Spark New Zealand Limited is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (SPK.AX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 9th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 9th we expect Spark New Zealand Limited to open at $3.96, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.85 and $3.99, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0721 (+/-1.84%) up or down from last closing price. If Spark New Zealand Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $4.30, some $0.380 (9.69%) from the current price of $3.92, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Spark New Zealand Limited stock A Buy?
Spark New Zealand Limited holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.282 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Spark New Zealand Limited of Thursday, May 9, 2024
| Fair opening price May 9, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.96 ( 1.02%) | $3.92 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for SPK.AX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.08 | 4.08 % | |
| R2 | 4.03 | 2.91 % | ||
| R1 | 4.01 | 2.19 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.92 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.91 | -0.149 % | |
| S2 | 3.89 | -0.87 % | ||
| S3 | 3.84 | -2.04 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.62 | 17.86 % | |
| R2 | 4.35 | 10.97 % | ||
| R1 | 4.30 | 9.69 % | ||
| Current price | 3.92 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
SPK Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Apr 05, 2024 | $0.149 | 3.43% |
| 2 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | Sep 14, 2023 | $0.124 | 2.85% |
| 3 | Mar 16, 2023 | Mar 16, 2023 | Mar 16, 2023 | $0.125 | 2.74% |
| 4 | Sep 15, 2022 | Sep 15, 2022 | Sep 15, 2022 | $0.110 | 2.43% |
| 5 | Mar 24, 2022 | Mar 24, 2022 | Mar 24, 2022 | $0.137 | 3.13% |
FAQ
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