Stoneco Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Gain 0.18%

The StoneCo stock price fell by -3.35% on the last day (Thursday, 23rd Jul 2026) from $11.36 to $10.98. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.41% from a day low at $10.85 to a day high of $11.22. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.18% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -580 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $27.96 million.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect StoneCo stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $9.75 and $11.84 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

STNE Signals & Forecast

The StoneCo stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $11.19. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $10.93. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -6.07%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for StoneCo stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $9.70 and $9.69. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, StoneCo finds support just below today's level at $9.70. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $9.69 and $9.61.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $0.370 (3.41%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.15%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $10.32 (-6.02%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 36 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (STNE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 24th we expect StoneCo Ltd. to open at $11.02, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $10.78 and $11.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.401 (+/-3.72%) up or down from last closing price. If StoneCo Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.72% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $10.99 (0.09%) than the support at $9.70 (11.66%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is StoneCo Ltd. stock A Buy?

StoneCo holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.253 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 24, 2026 - $11.02 ( 0.334%).

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