Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF price fell by -1.71% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from $20.16 to $19.81. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.36% from a day low at $19.81 to a day high of $20.08. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.22% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 26 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 32 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $629.17 thousand.
The ETF is at the lower part of a narrow and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $19.72 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $20.08 and $20.84 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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TFJL Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $20.17 and $19.94. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, June 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.96%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, May 14, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor ETF
Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor finds support from accumulated volume at $19.74 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.270 between high and low, or 1.36%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.700%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TFJL) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 1st we expect Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor Etf – Quarterly to open at $19.90, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $19.62 and $20.00, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.189 (+/-0.95%) up or down from last closing price. If Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor Etf – Quarterly takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $19.74 (0.35%) than the resistance at $19.99 (0.91%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor Etf – Quarterly ETF A Buy?
Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.060 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor Etf – Quarterly of Monday, July 1, 2024
Fair opening price July 1, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$19.90 ( 0.454%) | $19.81 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TFJL
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 20.17 | 1.82% |
R2 | 20.07 | 1.30% |
R1 | 20.00 | 0.97% |
Price | 19.81 | |
S1 | 19.80 | -0.0663% |
S2 | 19.73 | -0.388% |
S3 | 19.63 | -0.91% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 20.41 | 3.05% |
R2 | 20.27 | 2.33% |
R1 | 19.99 | 0.91% |
Price | 19.81 | |
S1 | 19.74 | -0.353% |
S2 | 19.71 | -0.505% |
S3 | 19.66 | -0.757% |
FAQ
Click here for our free guide on how to buy Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond 5 Floor Etf – Quarterly ETF.