Theriva Biologics, Inc. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Big movements in Theriva Biologics, Inc. stock price on Friday moving 11.64% between high and low
(Updated on May 31, 2024)
The Theriva Biologics, Inc. stock price fell by -6.43% on the last day (Friday, 31st May 2024) from $0.267 to $0.250. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 11.64% from a day low at $0.250 to a day high of $0.279. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -33.13% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 119 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 348 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $87.01 thousand.
Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -27.07% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $0.182 and $0.346 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TOVX Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Theriva Biologics, Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $0.295 and $0.381. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 20, 2024, and so far it has fallen -59.48%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Theriva Biologics, Inc. gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Theriva Biologics, Inc. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.0291 between high and low, or 11.64%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 16.13%.
Theriva Biologics, Inc. is oversold on RSI14 (14). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TOVX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Theriva Biologics, Inc. to open at $0.260, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $0.208 and $0.292, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0419 (+/-16.74%) up or down from last closing price. If Theriva Biologics, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 33.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $0.271, some $0.0209 (8.36%) from the current price of $0.250, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Theriva Biologics, Inc. stock A Buy?
Theriva Biologics, Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -6.125 Strong Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Theriva Biologics, Inc. of Monday, June 3, 2024
| Fair opening price June 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $0.260 ( 3.88%) | $0.250 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TOVX
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.289 | 15.51 % | |
| R2 | 0.278 | 11.07 % | ||
| R1 | 0.271 | 8.32 % | ||
| Current price: | 0.250 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0.249 | -0.566 % | |
| S2 | 0.242 | -3.31 % | ||
| S3 | 0.231 | -7.76 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0.306 | 22.35 % | |
| R2 | 0.279 | 11.56 % | ||
| R1 | 0.271 | 8.36 % | ||
| Current price | 0.250 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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