Thai Packaging & Printing Public Co Ltd Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Thai Packaging & Printing Public Co Ltd stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Jun 06, 2024)
The Thai Packaging & Printing Public Co Ltd stock price fell by -2.29% on the last day (Thursday, 6th Jun 2024) from ฿13.10 to ฿12.80. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.14% from a day low at ฿12.60 to a day high of ฿13.50. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -5.88% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 500 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately ฿44.80 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at ฿12.76 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -11.16% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between ฿11.33 and ฿14.49 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TPP.BK Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Thai Packaging & Printing Public Co Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at ฿13.36 and ฿13.85. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 26, 2024, and so far it has fallen -28.49%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Thai Packaging & Printing Public Co Ltd gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Thai Packaging & Printing Public Co Ltd stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved ฿0.90 (7.14%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.50%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TPP.BK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 7th we expect Thai Packaging & Printing Public Company Limited to open at ฿12.97, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between ฿12.51 and ฿13.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-฿0.286 (+/-2.24%) up or down from last closing price. If Thai Packaging & Printing Public Company Limited takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.48% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ ฿14.20, some ฿1.40 (10.94%) from the current price of ฿12.80, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Thai Packaging & Printing Public Company Limited stock A Buy?
Thai Packaging & Printing Public Co Ltd holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -4.769 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Thai Packaging & Printing Public Company Limited of Friday, June 7, 2024
| Fair opening price June 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| ฿12.97 ( 1.30%) | ฿12.80 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TPP.BK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 13.87 | 8.33% |
| R2 | 13.52 | 5.65% |
| R1 | 13.31 | 3.99% |
| Price | 12.80 | |
| S1 | 12.62 | -1.38% |
| S2 | 12.41 | -3.04% |
| S3 | 12.07 | -5.73% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 14.90 | 16.41% |
| R2 | 14.70 | 14.84% |
| R1 | 14.20 | 10.94% |
| Price | 12.80 | |
| S1 | 0 | - |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
TPP Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 14, 2024 | Mar 14, 2024 | May 03, 2024 | ฿0.220 | 1.57% |
| 2 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | Mar 14, 2023 | ฿0.500 | 2.59% |
| 3 | Mar 11, 2022 | Mar 11, 2022 | Mar 11, 2022 | ฿1.00 | 5.43% |
| 4 | Nov 25, 2021 | Nov 25, 2021 | Nov 25, 2021 | ฿1.00 | 4.65% |
| 5 | Mar 15, 2021 | Mar 15, 2021 | Mar 15, 2021 | ฿0.400 | 2.55% |
FAQ
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