Tractor Supply Company Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Red day on Tuesday for Tractor Supply Company stock after losing 0.94%
(Updated on Jul 02, 2024)
The Tractor Supply Company stock price fell by -0.94% on the last day (Tuesday, 2nd Jul 2024) from £307.30 to £304.40. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.08% from a day low at £302.90 to a day high of £309.20. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.85% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 18 million shares were bought and sold for approximately £5.57 billion.
The stock lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at £302.16 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 8.67% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between £328.34 and £353.58 at the end of this 3-month period.
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TSCO.L Signals & Forecast
Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Tractor Supply Company stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £307.01 and £309.16. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, May 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.37%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Tractor Supply Company stock
Tractor Supply Company finds support from accumulated volume at £293.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved £6.30 between high and low, or 2.08%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.27%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (TSCO.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 3rd we expect Tractor Supply Company to open at £305.50, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £299.16 and £309.64, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£5.24 (+/-1.72%) up or down from last closing price. If Tractor Supply Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at £307.60 (1.05%) than the support at £293.00 (3.75%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Tractor Supply Company stock A Buy?
The Tractor Supply Company stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Tractor Supply Company will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -1.548 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Tractor Supply Company of Wednesday, July 3, 2024
| Fair opening price July 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £305.50 ( 0.361%) | £304.40 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for TSCO.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 311.80 | 2.43% |
| R2 | 309.39 | 1.64% |
| R1 | 307.91 | 1.15% |
| Price | 304.40 | |
| S1 | 303.09 | -0.429% |
| S2 | 301.61 | -0.92% |
| S3 | 299.20 | -1.71% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 312.00 | 2.50% |
| R2 | 310.20 | 1.91% |
| R1 | 307.60 | 1.05% |
| Price | 304.40 | |
| S1 | 293.00 | -3.75% |
| S2 | 282.00 | -7.36% |
| S3 | 280.80 | -7.75% |
TSCO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 16, 2024 | May 16, 2024 | Jun 28, 2024 | £8.25 | 2.70% |
| 2 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | Oct 12, 2023 | £3.85 | 1.38% |
| 3 | May 11, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | £7.05 | 2.58% |
| 4 | Oct 05, 2022 | Oct 13, 2022 | Nov 25, 2022 | £3.85 | 1.64% |
| 5 | Apr 13, 2022 | May 19, 2022 | Jun 24, 2022 | £7.70 | 3.01% |
FAQ
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