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Weaker technical forecast for Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund as ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Jun 03, 2026)
The Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund ETF price fell by -0.330% on the last day (Wednesday, 3rd Jun 2026) from $18.19 to $18.13. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.110% from a day low at $18.13 to a day high of $18.15. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -0.11% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 11 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 55 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $990.37 thousand.
The ETF is moving within a narrow and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $18.27 and $18.70 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
UDN Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $18.20 and $18.27. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 11, 2026, and so far it has fallen -1.52%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, April 07, 2026 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, April 07, 2026 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund ETF
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $18.09 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0200 between high and low, or 0.110%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.237%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (UDN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 4th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 4th we expect Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund to open at $18.14, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $18.10 and $18.16, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0685 (+/-0.38%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.38% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $18.15 (0.11%) than the support at $18.09 (0.22%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund ETF A Buy?
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund holds several negative signals and is within a narrow and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.102
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 4, 2026 - $18.14 ( 0.0368%).
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UDN Performance
Trading levels for UDN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 18.16 | 0.147% |
| R2 | 18.15 | 0.105% |
| R1 | 18.14 | 0.0789% |
| Price | 18.13 | |
| S1 | 18.13 | -0.0054% |
| S2 | 18.12 | -0.0314% |
| S3 | 18.12 | -0.0735% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 18.35 | 1.21% |
| R2 | 18.18 | 0.276% |
| R1 | 18.15 | 0.110% |
| Price | 18.13 | |
| S1 | 18.09 | -0.221% |
| S2 | 18.06 | -0.386% |
| S3 | 18.00 | -0.717% |
UDN Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 26, 2025 | $0.536 | 2.93% |
| 2 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 23, 2024 | Dec 27, 2024 | $0.89 | 5.31% |
| 3 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.96 | 5.29% |
| 4 | Jan 24, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 23, 2022 | $0.128 | 0.697% |
| 5 | Jan 18, 2019 | Dec 23, 2019 | Dec 31, 2019 | $0.283 | 1.38% |
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