USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF Forecast
USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF downgraded to Sell Candidate
(Updated on Apr 30, 2024)
The USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF price fell by -2.09% on the last day (Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024) from $72.50 to $70.99. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.32% from a day low at $70.54 to a day high of $71.47. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.75% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 6 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 19 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.36 million.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $70.39 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 14.61% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $80.67 and $86.31 at the end of this 3-month period.
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UGA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $71.77 and $71.45. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.75%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF
USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP finds support from accumulated volume at $70.60 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.93 between high and low, or 1.32%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.17%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (UGA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 1st
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 1st we expect USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF to open at $71.00, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $69.77 and $72.21, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.22 (+/-1.72%) up or down from last closing price. If USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $70.60 (0.55%) than the resistance at $71.45 (0.65%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF ETF A Buy?
The USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -4.620 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for USCommodity Gasoline Fund LP ETF of Wednesday, May 1, 2024
| Fair opening price May 1, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $71.00 ( 0.0143%) | $70.99 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for UGA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 71.93 | 1.32 % | |
| R2 | 71.57 | 0.82 % | ||
| R1 | 71.36 | 0.514 % | ||
| Current price: | 70.99 | |||
| Support | S1 | 70.65 | -0.486 % | |
| S2 | 70.43 | -0.795 % | ||
| S3 | 70.07 | -1.30 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 73.76 | 3.90 % | |
| R2 | 72.21 | 1.72 % | ||
| R1 | 71.45 | 0.648 % | ||
| Current price | 70.99 | |||
| Support | S1 | 70.60 | -0.549% | |
| S2 | 67.75 | -4.56% | ||
| S3 | 62.70 | -11.68% |
FAQ
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