Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Forecast
Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF price gained 0.0721% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024), rising from $180.36 to $180.49. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.96% from a day low at $179.82 to a day high of $183.34. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.6% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 224 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 475 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $85.68 million.
The ETF lies in the lower part of a weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $178.49 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.72% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $183.35 and $199.09 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VBR Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $182.09 and $184.62. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 1.60%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF
Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund finds support from accumulated volume at $179.24 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.52 (1.96%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.18%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $169.84 (-5.90%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VBR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares to open at $181.22, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $177.93 and $183.05, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.56 (+/-1.42%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $180.67 (0.10%) than the support at $179.24 (0.69%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.680 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund ETF Shares of Thursday, May 2, 2024
| Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $181.22 ( 0.403%) | $180.49 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VBR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 184.74 | 2.35 % | |
| R2 | 183.39 | 1.61 % | ||
| R1 | 182.56 | 1.15 % | ||
| Current price: | 180.49 | |||
| Support | S1 | 179.87 | -0.342 % | |
| S2 | 179.04 | -0.80 % | ||
| S3 | 177.70 | -1.55 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 187.60 | 3.94 % | |
| R2 | 183.77 | 1.82 % | ||
| R1 | 180.67 | 0.0997 % | ||
| Current price | 180.49 | |||
| Support | S1 | 179.24 | -0.693% | |
| S2 | 176.79 | -2.05% | ||
| S3 | 175.61 | -2.70% |
VBR Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.94 | 0.504% |
| 2 | Mar 15, 2023 | Dec 21, 2023 | Dec 27, 2023 | $1.15 | 0.635% |
| 3 | Mar 15, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.88 | 0.556% |
| 4 | Mar 15, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.89 | 0.546% |
| 5 | Mar 15, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.89 | 0.578% |
FAQ
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