Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend ETF Forecast
Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 20, 2024)
The Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend ETF price fell by -0.140% on the last day (Thursday, 20th Jun 2024) from $42.85 to $42.79. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.678% from a day low at $42.75 to a day high of $43.04. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.26% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -180 thousand shares and in total, 154 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $6.57 million.
The ETF is at the lower part of a horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $42.76 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $42.62 and $44.98 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VDY.TO Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, June 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.0468%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $43.03 and $44.13. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend ETF
Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend finds support from accumulated volume at $42.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.290 between high and low, or 0.678%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.82%.
Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend is oversold on RSI14 (16). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $39.93 (-6.68%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. Low RSI14 is 16 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 22 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VDY.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 21st we expect Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend Yield Index ETF to open at $42.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $42.38 and $43.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.407 (+/-0.95%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend Yield Index ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.90% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $42.77 (0.05%) than the resistance at $42.85 (0.14%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend Yield Index ETF ETF A Buy?
Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.110 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend Yield Index ETF of Friday, June 21, 2024
Fair opening price June 21, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$42.86 ( 0.164%) | $42.79 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VDY.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 43.15 | 0.84% |
R2 | 43.04 | 0.582% |
R1 | 42.97 | 0.422% |
Price | 42.79 | |
S1 | 42.75 | -0.0953% |
S2 | 42.68 | -0.255% |
S3 | 42.57 | -0.514% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 44.19 | 3.27% |
R2 | 42.90 | 0.257% |
R1 | 42.85 | 0.140% |
Price | 42.79 | |
S1 | 42.77 | -0.0467% |
S2 | 0 | - |
S3 | 0 | - |
VDY Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 30, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | May 08, 2024 | $0.176 | 0.396% |
2 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 15, 2024 | Mar 25, 2024 | $0.173 | 0.394% |
3 | Feb 29, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | Mar 08, 2024 | $0.179 | 0.412% |
4 | Jan 31, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | Feb 08, 2024 | $0.195 | 0.471% |
5 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $0.167 | 0.393% |
FAQ
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