Varengold Bank AG Stock Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Varengold Bank AG as stock downgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Varengold Bank AG stock price fell by -0.505% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from 3.96€ to 3.94€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.60% from a day low at 3.84€ to a day high of 3.94€. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 15.2% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 1 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 4.53€ thousand.
The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at 3.97€ will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 17.79% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 3.59€ and 4.68€ at the end of this 3-month period.
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VG8.DE Signals & Forecast
The Varengold Bank AG stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at 3.77€ and 3.29€. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 30, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.505%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Varengold Bank AG gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Varengold Bank AG stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at 3.36€ and 3.32€. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Varengold Bank AG finds support just below today's level at 3.36€. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at 3.32€ and 3.04€.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved 0.100€ between high and low, or 2.60%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.12%.
The Varengold Bank AG stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: 3.84€ (-2.61%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 79 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (VG8.DE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Varengold Bank AG to open at 3.91€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 3.82€ and 4.06€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-0.120€ (+/-3.04%) up or down from last closing price. If Varengold Bank AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.08% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 3.96€ (0.51%) than the support at 3.36€ (14.72%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Varengold Bank AG stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Varengold Bank AG stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 3.171 Buy Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Varengold Bank AG of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| 3.91€ ( 0.85%) | 3.94€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VG8.DE
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.01 | 1.69 % | |
| R2 | 3.97 | 0.723 % | ||
| R1 | 3.94 | 0.124 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.87 | -1.82 % | |
| S2 | 3.84 | -2.41 % | ||
| S3 | 3.81 | -3.38 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 3.96 | 0.508 % | ||
| Current price | 3.94 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.36 | -14.72% | |
| S2 | 3.32 | -15.74% | ||
| S3 | 3.04 | -22.84% |
VG8 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jun 22, 2011 | Aug 04, 2011 | Aug 04, 2011 | 0.124€ | 1.71% |
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