Vanguard Growth Portfolio ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Vanguard Growth Portfolio ETF downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Vanguard Growth Portfolio ETF price gained 0.146% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from $34.32 to $34.37. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.175% from a day low at $34.31 to a day high of $34.37. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.23% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 84 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 84 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.88 million.
The ETFis at the upper part of a narrow and horizontal trend and normally this may pose a good selling opportunity but a break-up through the top trend line at $34.47 will give a strong buy signal and a trend shift could be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Growth Portfolio ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $33.76 and $35.13 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VGRO.TO Signals & Forecast
The Vanguard Growth Portfolio ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $34.19 and $33.62. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 4.44%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, May 02, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, May 02, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Growth Portfolio ETF
Vanguard Growth Portfolio finds support from accumulated volume at $33.75 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.0600 between high and low, or 0.175%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.211%.
The Vanguard Growth Portfolio ETF is overbought on RSI14 and the RSI has been falling for the last couple of days. This together with the fact that the ETF is in the upper part of the trend poses a possible good selling opportunity for the short-term trader. However, one should note that some ETFS may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the ETF manages to break the trend before that occurs.
Our recommended stop-loss: $32.49 (-5.48%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 20 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VGRO.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Vanguard Growth ETF Portfolio to open at $34.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $34.19 and $34.55, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.177 (+/-0.51%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Growth ETF Portfolio takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $33.75, some $0.620 (1.80%) from the current price of $34.37, our system finds the risk reward attractive.
Is Vanguard Growth ETF Portfolio ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Growth Portfolio holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Growth ETF Portfolio of Tuesday, May 21, 2024
| Fair opening price May 21, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $34.35 ( 0.0582%) | $34.37 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VGRO.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 34.41 | 0.116 % | |
| R2 | 34.39 | 0.0497 % | ||
| R1 | 34.37 | 0.0085 % | ||
| Current price: | 34.37 | |||
| Support | S1 | 34.33 | -0.125 % | |
| S2 | 34.31 | -0.166 % | ||
| S3 | 34.29 | -0.233 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 0 | . | ||
| Current price | 34.37 | |||
| Support | S1 | 33.75 | -1.80% | |
| S2 | 33.67 | -2.04% | ||
| S3 | 33.18 | -3.46% |
VGRO Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 01, 2024 | Apr 09, 2024 | $0.221 | 0.651% |
| 2 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | Dec 28, 2023 | $0.210 | 0.660% |
| 3 | Sep 29, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | Sep 29, 2023 | $0.154 | 0.520% |
| 4 | Jul 05, 2023 | Jul 05, 2023 | Jul 05, 2023 | $0.189 | 0.624% |
| 5 | Apr 03, 2023 | Apr 03, 2023 | Apr 03, 2023 | $0.136 | 0.455% |
FAQ
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