Vivara Participações S.A. Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Vivara Participações S.A. stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 10, 2024)
The Vivara Participações S.A. stock price fell by -3.60% on the last day (Friday, 10th May 2024) from R$23.92 to R$23.06. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.06% from a day low at R$22.91 to a day high of R$24.07. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.22% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -472 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately R$62.97 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at R$23.89 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -35.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between R$11.47 and R$15.38 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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VIVA3.SA Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. The Vivara Participações S.A. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at R$23.40 and R$23.56. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, April 15, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.15%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vivara Participações S.A. stock
Vivara Participações S.A. finds support from accumulated volume at R$22.87 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved R$1.16 between high and low, or 5.06%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.41%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VIVA3.SA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect Vivara Participações S.A. to open at R$23.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between R$22.24 and R$23.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-R$0.82 (+/-3.57%) up or down from last closing price. If Vivara Participações S.A. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at R$22.87 (0.82%) than the resistance at R$24.65 (6.90%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vivara Participações S.A. stock A Buy?
Vivara Participações S.A. holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -2.031 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vivara Participações S.A. of Monday, May 13, 2024
| Fair opening price May 13, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| R$23.35 ( 1.24%) | R$23.06 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VIVA3.SA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 24.51 | 6.27 % | |
| R2 | 24.06 | 4.35 % | ||
| R1 | 23.79 | 3.16 % | ||
| Current price: | 23.06 | |||
| Support | S1 | 22.90 | -0.678 % | |
| S2 | 22.63 | -1.87 % | ||
| S3 | 22.19 | -3.79 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 26.41 | 14.53 % | |
| R2 | 25.32 | 9.80 % | ||
| R1 | 24.65 | 6.90 % | ||
| Current price | 23.06 | |||
| Support | S1 | 22.87 | -0.82% | |
| S2 | 22.78 | -1.21% | ||
| S3 | 22.45 | -2.65% |
VIVA3 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apr 30, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | May 01, 2024 | R$0.373 | 1.68% |
| 2 | Apr 28, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | Apr 28, 2023 | R$0.364 | 1.74% |
| 3 | May 02, 2022 | May 02, 2022 | May 02, 2022 | R$0.0539 | 0.225% |
| 4 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 28, 2021 | Dec 28, 2021 | R$0.275 | 1.15% |
| 5 | May 03, 2021 | May 03, 2021 | May 03, 2021 | R$0.0528 | 0.223% |
FAQ
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