Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index ETF Forecast
Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on Jun 28, 2024)
The Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index ETF price fell by -0.191% on the last day (Friday, 28th Jun 2024) from $20.93 to $20.89. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.86% from a day low at $20.84 to a day high of $21.02. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.25% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 17 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 24 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $492.48 thousand.
The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 5.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $21.68 and $22.74 at the end of this 3-month period.
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VLB.TO Signals & Forecast
The Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $21.11. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $20.85. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 18, 2024, and so far it has fallen -2.52%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 31, 2024 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, May 31, 2024 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index ETF
Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index finds support from accumulated volume at $20.62 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.180 between high and low, or 0.86%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.515%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $20.02 (-4.16%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 45 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VLB.TO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 2nd we expect Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index Etf to open at $20.92, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $20.72 and $21.06, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.174 (+/-0.83%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index Etf takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.66% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $20.62 (1.29%) than the resistance at $21.24 (1.68%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index Etf ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.710 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Canadian Long-term Bond Index Etf of Tuesday, July 2, 2024
Fair opening price July 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$20.92 ( 0.128%) | $20.89 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VLB.TO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 21.10 | 0.99% |
R2 | 21.03 | 0.660% |
R1 | 20.99 | 0.457% |
Price | 20.89 | |
S1 | 20.85 | -0.201% |
S2 | 20.81 | -0.405% |
S3 | 20.74 | -0.734% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 21.43 | 2.58% |
R2 | 21.37 | 2.30% |
R1 | 21.24 | 1.68% |
Price | 20.89 | |
S1 | 20.62 | -1.29% |
S2 | 20.50 | -1.87% |
S3 | 20.44 | -2.15% |
FAQ
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