Varonis Systems Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Apr 15, 2026 Gain 74.16%

The Varonis Systems stock price gained 4.51% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026), rising from $38.56 to $40.30. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.17% from a day low at $38.10 to a day high of $40.45. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 20.44% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 909 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 5 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $193.18 million.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $40.83 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 66.14% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $56.63 and $67.83 at the end of this 3-month period.

VRNS Signals & Forecast

The Varonis Systems stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $35.76 and $32.25. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, June 09, 2026, and so far it has risen 24.08%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Varonis Systems stock

Varonis Systems finds support from accumulated volume at $38.56 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.35 between high and low, or 6.17%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 9.92%.

The Varonis Systems stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stocks may go long and hard while being overbought and the RSI is still moving upwards. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely, and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $38.95 (-3.36%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 82 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 12 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VRNS) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Varonis Systems to open at $39.62, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $39.23 and $41.37, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.15 (+/-5.47%) up or down from last closing price. If Varonis Systems takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.47% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $38.56, some $1.74 (4.32%) from the current price of $40.30, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is Varonis Systems stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Varonis Systems stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 4.742 Buy Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $39.62 ( 1.70%).

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